Portfolio Analytics for the China Real Estate Market

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Zeyuan Wang

College:
College of Business and Public Management

Major:
Finance

Faculty Research Advisor(s):
Abootaleb Shirvani

Abstract:
Investigating Optimal Investment Strategies in the Chinese Real Estate Market: A Ten-Year Company-Level Analysis
The Chinese real estate market presents a complex and dynamic landscape for investors, offering both significant potential and inherent risks. This research project delves into this landscape, focusing on identifying optimal investment strategies within the sector through a comprehensive analysis of 25 leading Chinese real estate companies. Spanning ten years, the study utilizes daily stock data to conduct a detailed examination of individual company performance and explore their relationship with key market indices.

Data and Methodology:

The study utilizes a rich dataset encompassing ten years of daily stock data from 25 prominent Chinese real estate companies. These companies represent a diverse range of market segments, including developers, property management firms, and construction materials companies. The analysis will leverage the R programming language, employing various techniques like time series analysis and regression models to assess individual company performance, risk profiles, and their correlations within the market.

Comparative Analysis:

For comprehensive comparison and context, the project will compare the performance of the chosen companies against two key market indices: the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSE Composite) and the CSI 300 Index. By analyzing both individual and comparative performance metrics, the research aims to identify companies demonstrating consistent growth, strong financial health, and potential for superior risk-adjusted returns.

Seeking Optimal Strategies:

Through this in-depth analysis, the study seeks to discover optimal investment strategies within the Chinese real estate market. This includes exploring potential benefits of diversification across different segments and identifying companies that offer a favorable combination of growth potential and manageable risk. The analysis will consider factors like historical performance volatility, price-to-earnings ratios (P/E ratios), and dividend yields to create a comprehensive picture of each company's investment attractiveness.

Significance and Impact:

Understanding the dynamics of the Chinese real estate market holds significant value for both domestic and international investors. This research, by focusing on a ten-year analysis of 25 diverse companies, offers valuable insights into the performance landscape and potential investment opportunities within this sector. The project aims to contribute to informed decision-making by providing a detailed and nuanced perspective on risk-adjusted returns, diversification strategies, and the overall investment potential of the Chinese real estate market.


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